Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.814421e-05 2.217287e-05 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051
2025-08-24 1.221005e-05 1.703354e-05 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061
2025-08-31 9.022474e-06 1.419214e-05 0.000021 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000072
2025-09-07 6.550389e-06 1.164432e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081
2025-09-14 4.586254e-06 9.311624e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000087
2025-09-21 3.286156e-06 7.645138e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000042 0.000064 0.000094
2025-09-28 2.297221e-06 6.211967e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000042 0.000065 0.000099
2025-10-05 1.783819e-06 5.503426e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000043 0.000070 0.000108
2025-10-12 1.360708e-06 4.839609e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000116
2025-10-19 9.786989e-07 4.119324e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000045 0.000077 0.000123
2025-10-26 9.073399e-07 4.164676e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000050 0.000085 0.000138
2025-11-02 6.920463e-07 3.721545e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000051 0.000089 0.000147
2025-11-09 3.499128e-07 2.725504e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000050 0.000090 0.000153
2025-11-16 1.636839e-07 2.018637e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000092 0.000160
2025-11-23 8.247254e-08 1.630816e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000051 0.000098 0.000173
2025-11-30 3.038797e-08 1.229698e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000051 0.000101 0.000182
2025-12-07 5.996074e-09 8.530154e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000050 0.000102 0.000188
2025-12-14 4.630822e-10 6.038404e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000050 0.000105 0.000196
2025-12-21 NaN 4.053512e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000050 0.000106 0.000203
2025-12-28 NaN 3.203248e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000112 0.000217
2026-01-04 NaN 2.442740e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000053 0.000117 0.000229
2026-01-11 NaN 1.683315e-07 0.000003 0.000018 0.000053 0.000120 0.000239
2026-01-18 NaN 1.751750e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000058 0.000132 0.000262